-175 to win GOP nomination ( 63.6% probability).What gives Newsom a boost here is a poll suggesting he beats Trump 40% to 39%.

So long as he can keep the DOJ and various lawsuits at bay then the ex-president could be favorite for the election by this time next year. Here's who he would likely be up against from the GOP:ĭonald Trump – Priced at +225 in the election odds, Trump looks in the perfect place to return to the Oval Office. However, the good news for Newsom is that he's polling ahead of the two big Republican party candidates. Not only would he be up against the GOP machine, but convincing voters he is the man for the job would be difficult after his recall vote in 2021. If Newsom is selected as the Democrats' pick for the 2024 US presidential election then he would face a monumental battle to make it to the White House. Who Gavin Newsom Would Likely Be Running Against However, one big reason California sports betting apps and sites still give Newsom a 10% chance of becoming the next United States president is because it is unknown if Biden, at 81 come the next election, will be ready to contest it. In April 2023 he endorsed president Joe Biden for the Democratic nomination. He survived a 2021 recall despite losing 60% of the vote, and in fall 2022 – before the midterms – he insisted he wouldn't challenge Biden for the presidency. Newsom is perhaps not as confident as some bettors would expect when it comes to elections. Is Gavin Newsom Running for President in 2024?Īs of November 2023 Gavin Newsom has not expressed a desire to run in the US presidential election.

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